Search Results - "Skinner, Patrick S."

Using Ensemble Sensitivity to Diagnose Environmental Modulation of Mesocyclone Intensity in the Warn-on-Forecast System.

Authors: Faletti, William L. Weiss, Christopher C. Skinner, Patrick S. et al.

Source: Monthly Weather Review; Jun2026, Vol. 154 Issue 6, p1-25, 25p

Forecasting Quasi-Linear Convective System Tornado Potential using the Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS).

Authors: Britt, Kelsey C. Skinner, Patrick S. Brown, Matthew C. et al.

Source: Weather & Forecasting. Apr2026, Vol. 41 Issue 4, p1-34. 34p.

Comparing Short-Term Thunderstorm Forecasts from the Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) and High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR).

Authors: Skinner, Patrick S. Stratman, Derek R. Kerr, Christopher A. et al.

Source: Weather & Forecasting. Oct2025, Vol. 40 Issue 10, p1839-1858. 20p.

Verification of Quasi-Linear Convective Systems Predicted by the Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS).

Authors: Britt, Kelsey C. Skinner, Patrick S. Heinselman, Pamela L. et al.

Source: Weather & Forecasting. Jan2024, Vol. 39 Issue 1, p155-176. 22p.

Observations of the Surface Boundary Structure within the 23 May 2007 Perryton, Texas, Supercell.

Authors: Skinner, Patrick S. Weiss, Christopher C. Schroeder, John L. et al.

Source: Monthly Weather Review; December 2011, Vol. 139 Issue 12, p3730-3749, 20p

Exploring High-Impact Weather Communication across Time Scales for Route Planning through the Aviation Weather Testbed.

Authors: Avey, Stephanie Burke, Patrick C. Cross, Austin et al.

Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society; Apr2023, Vol. 104 Issue 4, pE810-E814, 5p

Quantification of NSSL Warn-on-Forecast System Accuracy by Storm Age Using Object-Based Verification.

Authors: Guerra, Jorge E. Skinner, Patrick S. Clark, Adam et al.

Source: Weather & Forecasting. Nov2022, Vol. 37 Issue 11, p1973-1983. 11p.

Improving Estimates of U.S. Tornado Frequency by Accounting for Unreported and Underrated Tornadoes.

Authors: Potvin, Corey K. Broyles, Chris Skinner, Patrick S. et al.

Source: Journal of Applied Meteorology & Climatology; Jul2022, Vol. 61 Issue 7, p909-930, 22p

An Iterative Storm Segmentation and Classification Algorithm for Convection-Allowing Models and Gridded Radar Analyses.

Authors: Potvin, Corey K. Gallo, Burkely T. Reinhart, Anthony E. et al.

Source: Journal of Atmospheric & Oceanic Technology; Jul2022, Vol. 39 Issue 7, p999-1013, 15p

Using Machine Learning to Generate Storm-Scale Probabilistic Guidance of Severe Weather Hazards in the Warn-on-Forecast System.

Authors: FLORA, MONTGOMERY L. POTVIN, COREY K. SKINNER, PATRICK S. et al.

Source: Monthly Weather Review; May2021, Vol. 149 Issue 5, p1535-1557, 23p

The Vice and Virtue of Increased Horizontal Resolution in Ensemble Forecasts of Tornadic Thunderstorms in Low-CAPE, High-Shear Environments.

Authors: Lawson, John R. Potvin, Corey K. Skinner, Patrick S. et al.

Source: Monthly Weather Review; Apr2021, Vol. 149 Issue 4, p921-944, 24p, 6 Charts, 17 Graphs, 1 Map

Effects of Horizontal Grid Spacing and Inflow Environment on Forecasts of Cyclic Mesocyclogenesis in NSSL's Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS).

Authors: BRITT, KELSEY C. SKINNER, PATRICK S. HEINSELMAN, PAMELA L. et al.

Source: Weather & Forecasting. Dec2020, Vol. 35 Issue 6, p2423-2444. 22p.

The Second Real-Time, Virtual Spring Forecasting Experiment to Advance Severe Weather Prediction.

Authors: Clark, Adam J. Jirak, Israel L. Gallo, Burkely T. et al.

Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society; Apr2022, Vol. 103 Issue 4, pE1114-E1116, 3p

Assessing Systematic Impacts of PBL Schemes on Storm Evolution in the NOAA Warn-on-Forecast System.

Authors: POTVIN, COREY K. SKINNER, PATRICK S. HOOGEWIND, KIMBERLY A. et al.

Source: Monthly Weather Review. Jun2020, Vol. 148 Issue 6, p2567-2590. 24p.

Object-Based Verification of Short-Term, Storm-Scale Probabilistic Mesocyclone Guidance from an Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System.

Authors: FLORA, MONTGOMERY L. SKINNER, PATRICK S. POTVIN, COREY K. et al.

Source: Weather & Forecasting. Dec2019, Vol. 34 Issue 6, p1721-1739. 19p.

Object-Based Verification of a Prototype Warn-on-Forecast System.

Authors: Skinner, Patrick S. Wheatley, Dustan M. Knopfmeier, Kent H. et al.

Source: Weather & Forecasting. Oct2018, Vol. 33 Issue 5, p1225-1250. 26p.

A Real-Time, Virtual Spring Forecasting Experiment to Advance Severe Weather Prediction.

Authors: Clark, Adam J. Jirak, Israel L. Gallo, Burkely T. et al.

Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society; Apr2021, Vol. 102 Issue 4, pE814-E816, 3p

A Real-Time, Simulated Forecasting Experiment for Advancing the Prediction of Hazardous Convective Weather.

Authors: Clark, Adam J. Jirak, Israel L. Gallo, Burkely T. et al.

Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society; Nov2020, Vol. 101 Issue 11, pE2022-E2024, 3p

Interpreting Warn-on-Forecast System Guidance, Part I: Review of Probabilistic Guidance Concepts, Product Design, and Best Practices.

Authors: SKINNER, PATRICK S. WILSON, KATIE A. MATILLA, BRIAN C. et al.

Source: Journal of Operational Meteorology; 12/19/2023, Vol. 11 Issue 9, p110-131, 22p

The NOAA Weather Prediction Center's Use and Evaluation of Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System Guidance.

Authors: WILSON, KATIE A. YUSSOUF, NUSRAT SKINNER, PATRICK S. et al.

Source: Journal of Operational Meteorology; 9/7/2023, Vol. 11 Issue 7, p82-94, 13p