The material-energy nexus in net-zero transition scenarios: exploring environmental trade-offs and uncertainties.

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Title: The material-energy nexus in net-zero transition scenarios: exploring environmental trade-offs and uncertainties.
Authors: Hahn Menacho, Alvaro J.1,2 (AUTHOR), Sacchi, Romain1,2 (AUTHOR), Bauer, Christian1 (AUTHOR), Panos, Evangelos1,2 (AUTHOR), McKenna, Russell1,2 (AUTHOR), Burgherr, Peter1,2 (AUTHOR)
Source: Resources, Conservation & Recycling. May2025, Vol. 218, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p.
Subject Terms: *Greenhouse gases, *Renewable energy transition (Government policy), *Environmental indicators, *Environmental impact analysis, Product life cycle assessment
Abstract: As countries pursue net-zero energy systems, material demands intensify. This study develops a framework combining energy system modeling and life cycle assessment to quantify environmental impacts and material needs of energy transition scenarios. We apply it to Switzerland's net-zero scenario, using global sensitivity analysis to assess uncertainties in material intensity, efficiency, and market shares of energy technologies. Results reveal that Switzerland's domestic net-zero goal is met, with life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions decreasing from 40 to 4 megatonnes CO 2 -eq between 2020 and 2050. While uncertainties have limited influence on environmental indicators, demand for critical raw materials rises and varies substantially. For instance, lithium demand increases tenfold by 2050, with estimates ranging from 800 to 3,000 tonnes annually. Technological improvements and sub-technology choices, such as lithium-reduced battery chemistries, help mitigate CRM pressures even as storage capacity grows. Findings highlight the need to integrate material considerations into energy planning for sustainable, resilient transitions. [Display omitted] [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Resources, Conservation & Recycling is the property of Elsevier B.V. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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  Data: The material-energy nexus in net-zero transition scenarios: exploring environmental trade-offs and uncertainties.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Resources%2C+Conservation+%26+Recycling%22">Resources, Conservation & Recycling</searchLink>. May2025, Vol. 218, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p.
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  Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Greenhouse+gases%22">Greenhouse gases</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Renewable+energy+transition+%28Government+policy%29%22">Renewable energy transition (Government policy)</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Environmental+indicators%22">Environmental indicators</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Environmental+impact+analysis%22">Environmental impact analysis</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Product+life+cycle+assessment%22">Product life cycle assessment</searchLink>
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  Data: As countries pursue net-zero energy systems, material demands intensify. This study develops a framework combining energy system modeling and life cycle assessment to quantify environmental impacts and material needs of energy transition scenarios. We apply it to Switzerland's net-zero scenario, using global sensitivity analysis to assess uncertainties in material intensity, efficiency, and market shares of energy technologies. Results reveal that Switzerland's domestic net-zero goal is met, with life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions decreasing from 40 to 4 megatonnes CO 2 -eq between 2020 and 2050. While uncertainties have limited influence on environmental indicators, demand for critical raw materials rises and varies substantially. For instance, lithium demand increases tenfold by 2050, with estimates ranging from 800 to 3,000 tonnes annually. Technological improvements and sub-technology choices, such as lithium-reduced battery chemistries, help mitigate CRM pressures even as storage capacity grows. Findings highlight the need to integrate material considerations into energy planning for sustainable, resilient transitions. [Display omitted] [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
  Label:
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  Data: <i>Copyright of Resources, Conservation & Recycling is the property of Elsevier B.V. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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        Value: 10.1016/j.resconrec.2025.108251
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      – Code: eng
        Text: English
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      – SubjectFull: Greenhouse gases
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      – SubjectFull: Renewable energy transition (Government policy)
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      – SubjectFull: Environmental indicators
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      – SubjectFull: Environmental impact analysis
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      – SubjectFull: Product life cycle assessment
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      – TitleFull: The material-energy nexus in net-zero transition scenarios: exploring environmental trade-offs and uncertainties.
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              M: 05
              Text: May2025
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              Value: 218
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