Investigating the Relationship between Bus Network Topology and Temporal Ridership Patterns: A Case Study in Singapore.

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Title: Investigating the Relationship between Bus Network Topology and Temporal Ridership Patterns: A Case Study in Singapore.
Authors: Zhou, Wei1 (AUTHOR)
Source: Journal of Transportation Engineering. Part A. Systems. Aug2026, Vol. 152 Issue 8, p1-17. 17p.
Subjects: Bus travel, Network theory (Statistical physics), Discrete choice models, Public transit
Geographic Terms: Singapore
Abstract: To advance the understanding of passenger temporal ridership profiles in urban bus systems, this study examined the relationship between network topological characteristics and temporal ridership patterns. Using Singapore's bus system as a case study, stop-level hourly passenger profiles were constructed, and a clustering approach was applied to identify five typical temporal patterns: mixed-use central business district (CBD), western job hubs, peripheral residential regions, near-central residential regions, and school-oriented zones. Adopting the complex network theory, the bus network was represented in both L-space and P-space, allowing computation of key topological descriptors and examination of degree distributions and small-world features. A multinomial logit (MNL) model was employed to investigate the relationships between temporal ridership clusters and network topology. The results confirm significant associations and indicate that residential origins exhibit stronger outward connectivity and bridging roles, whereas job and school destinations demonstrate concentrated inflows and high local transitivity within dense route cliques. Additionally, incorporating network topology significantly improves model performance, highlighting that network context provides additional explanatory power for temporal ridership patterns beyond the urban environment alone. By linking network topology with temporal ridership dynamics, this study provides a network-based perspective that can inform more-efficient and -adaptive public bus network planning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Journal of Transportation Engineering. Part A. Systems is the property of American Society of Civil Engineers and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
Database: Engineering Source
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DbLabel: Engineering Source
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AccessLevel: 6
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PubTypeId: academicJournal
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  Data: Investigating the Relationship between Bus Network Topology and Temporal Ridership Patterns: A Case Study in Singapore.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Zhou%2C+Wei%22">Zhou, Wei</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Journal+of+Transportation+Engineering%2E+Part+A%2E+Systems%22">Journal of Transportation Engineering. Part A. Systems</searchLink>. Aug2026, Vol. 152 Issue 8, p1-17. 17p.
– Name: Subject
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  Group: Su
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Bus+travel%22">Bus travel</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Network+theory+%28Statistical+physics%29%22">Network theory (Statistical physics)</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Discrete+choice+models%22">Discrete choice models</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Public+transit%22">Public transit</searchLink>
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  Label: Geographic Terms
  Group: Su
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Singapore%22">Singapore</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: To advance the understanding of passenger temporal ridership profiles in urban bus systems, this study examined the relationship between network topological characteristics and temporal ridership patterns. Using Singapore's bus system as a case study, stop-level hourly passenger profiles were constructed, and a clustering approach was applied to identify five typical temporal patterns: mixed-use central business district (CBD), western job hubs, peripheral residential regions, near-central residential regions, and school-oriented zones. Adopting the complex network theory, the bus network was represented in both L-space and P-space, allowing computation of key topological descriptors and examination of degree distributions and small-world features. A multinomial logit (MNL) model was employed to investigate the relationships between temporal ridership clusters and network topology. The results confirm significant associations and indicate that residential origins exhibit stronger outward connectivity and bridging roles, whereas job and school destinations demonstrate concentrated inflows and high local transitivity within dense route cliques. Additionally, incorporating network topology significantly improves model performance, highlighting that network context provides additional explanatory power for temporal ridership patterns beyond the urban environment alone. By linking network topology with temporal ridership dynamics, this study provides a network-based perspective that can inform more-efficient and -adaptive public bus network planning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
  Label:
  Group: Ab
  Data: <i>Copyright of Journal of Transportation Engineering. Part A. Systems is the property of American Society of Civil Engineers and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
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    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1061/JTEPBS.TEENG-9665
    Languages:
      – Code: eng
        Text: English
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      Pagination:
        PageCount: 17
        StartPage: 1
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Bus travel
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Network theory (Statistical physics)
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Discrete choice models
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Public transit
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Singapore
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Investigating the Relationship between Bus Network Topology and Temporal Ridership Patterns: A Case Study in Singapore.
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            – D: 01
              M: 08
              Text: Aug2026
              Type: published
              Y: 2026
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              Value: 152
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              Value: 8
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            – TitleFull: Journal of Transportation Engineering. Part A. Systems
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