Supply Rate and Equilibrium Inventory of Air Force Enlisted Personnel: A Simultaneous Model of the Accession and Retention Markets Incorporating Force Level Constraints. Final Report for Period July 1969-June 1976.
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| Title: | Supply Rate and Equilibrium Inventory of Air Force Enlisted Personnel: A Simultaneous Model of the Accession and Retention Markets Incorporating Force Level Constraints. Final Report for Period July 1969-June 1976. |
|---|---|
| Language: | English |
| Authors: | DeVany, Arthur S., Resources Research Corp., College Station, TX. |
| Peer Reviewed: | N |
| Page Count: | 103 |
| Publication Date: | 2025 |
| Sponsoring Agency: | Air Force Human Resources Lab., Brooks AFB, TX. |
| Document Type: | Reports - Research |
| Descriptors: | Career Choice, Employment Level, Employment Patterns, Employment Qualifications, Enlisted Personnel, Job Applicants, Job Training, Labor Demands, Labor Economics, Labor Market, Labor Needs, Labor Supply, Military Air Facilities, Personnel Selection, Retention (Psychology), Unemployment, Wages |
| Abstract: | This research was designed to develop and test a model of the Air Force manpower market. The study indicates that previous manpower supply studies failed to account for simultaneous determination of enlistments and retentions and misinterpreted regressions as supply equations. They are, instead, reduced form equations resulting from joint interaction of Air Force demand and enlistment supply activity. A stochastic process model is used to represent the Air Force manpower market. Variables determining manpower inventory levels, personnel turnover, and new enlistment flows are the mandated force level requirement, Air Force and civilian wages, the unemployment rate, and perceived civilian returns to Air Force-provided training. In the model it is possible to trace the impact of changes in the determining variables upon retention and enlistments. The empirical work supports the simultaneous demand and supply approach developed in the study. The results indicate that (1) changes in force level account for most enlistment rate changes during the all-volunteer force period, (2) higher Air Force wages have improved retention and reduce demand for new enlistments, (3) accessions show lower Air Force Qualifications Test scores, and (4) previous estimates of military manpower supply elasticities are biased downward from true elasticity. (Author/CSS) |
| Entry Date: | 1979 |
| Accession Number: | ED164764 |
| Database: | ERIC |
| FullText | Text: Availability: 0 CustomLinks: – Url: https://eric.ed.gov/contentdelivery/servlet/ERICServlet?accno=ED164764 Name: ERIC Full Text Category: fullText Text: Full Text from ERIC |
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| Header | DbId: eric DbLabel: ERIC An: ED164764 AccessLevel: 3 PubType: Report PubTypeId: report PreciseRelevancyScore: 0 |
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| Items | – Name: Title Label: Title Group: Ti Data: Supply Rate and Equilibrium Inventory of Air Force Enlisted Personnel: A Simultaneous Model of the Accession and Retention Markets Incorporating Force Level Constraints. Final Report for Period July 1969-June 1976. – Name: Language Label: Language Group: Lang Data: English – Name: Author Label: Authors Group: Au Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22DeVany%2C+Arthur+S%2E%22">DeVany, Arthur S.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Resources+Research+Corp%2E%2C+College+Station%2C+TX%2E%22">Resources Research Corp., College Station, TX.</searchLink> – Name: PeerReviewed Label: Peer Reviewed Group: SrcInfo Data: N – Name: Pages Label: Page Count Group: Src Data: 103 – Name: DatePubCY Label: Publication Date Group: Date Data: 2025 – Name: SourceSuprt Label: Sponsoring Agency Group: SrcSuprt Data: Air Force Human Resources Lab., Brooks AFB, TX. – Name: TypeDocument Label: Document Type Group: TypDoc Data: Reports - Research – Name: Subject Label: Descriptors Group: Su Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Career+Choice%22">Career Choice</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Employment+Level%22">Employment Level</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Employment+Patterns%22">Employment Patterns</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Employment+Qualifications%22">Employment Qualifications</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Enlisted+Personnel%22">Enlisted Personnel</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Job+Applicants%22">Job Applicants</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Job+Training%22">Job Training</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Labor+Demands%22">Labor Demands</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Labor+Economics%22">Labor Economics</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Labor+Market%22">Labor Market</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Labor+Needs%22">Labor Needs</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Labor+Supply%22">Labor Supply</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Military+Air+Facilities%22">Military Air Facilities</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Personnel+Selection%22">Personnel Selection</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Retention+%28Psychology%29%22">Retention (Psychology)</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Unemployment%22">Unemployment</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Wages%22">Wages</searchLink> – Name: Abstract Label: Abstract Group: Ab Data: This research was designed to develop and test a model of the Air Force manpower market. The study indicates that previous manpower supply studies failed to account for simultaneous determination of enlistments and retentions and misinterpreted regressions as supply equations. They are, instead, reduced form equations resulting from joint interaction of Air Force demand and enlistment supply activity. A stochastic process model is used to represent the Air Force manpower market. Variables determining manpower inventory levels, personnel turnover, and new enlistment flows are the mandated force level requirement, Air Force and civilian wages, the unemployment rate, and perceived civilian returns to Air Force-provided training. In the model it is possible to trace the impact of changes in the determining variables upon retention and enlistments. The empirical work supports the simultaneous demand and supply approach developed in the study. The results indicate that (1) changes in force level account for most enlistment rate changes during the all-volunteer force period, (2) higher Air Force wages have improved retention and reduce demand for new enlistments, (3) accessions show lower Air Force Qualifications Test scores, and (4) previous estimates of military manpower supply elasticities are biased downward from true elasticity. (Author/CSS) – Name: DateEntry Label: Entry Date Group: Date Data: 1979 – Name: AN Label: Accession Number Group: ID Data: ED164764 |
| PLink | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=eric&AN=ED164764 |
| RecordInfo | BibRecord: BibEntity: Languages: – Text: English PhysicalDescription: Pagination: PageCount: 103 Subjects: – SubjectFull: Career Choice Type: general – SubjectFull: Employment Level Type: general – SubjectFull: Employment Patterns Type: general – SubjectFull: Employment Qualifications Type: general – SubjectFull: Enlisted Personnel Type: general – SubjectFull: Job Applicants Type: general – SubjectFull: Job Training Type: general – SubjectFull: Labor Demands Type: general – SubjectFull: Labor Economics Type: general – SubjectFull: Labor Market Type: general – SubjectFull: Labor Needs Type: general – SubjectFull: Labor Supply Type: general – SubjectFull: Military Air Facilities Type: general – SubjectFull: Personnel Selection Type: general – SubjectFull: Retention (Psychology) Type: general – SubjectFull: Unemployment Type: general – SubjectFull: Wages Type: general Titles: – TitleFull: Supply Rate and Equilibrium Inventory of Air Force Enlisted Personnel: A Simultaneous Model of the Accession and Retention Markets Incorporating Force Level Constraints. Final Report for Period July 1969-June 1976. Type: main BibRelationships: HasContributorRelationships: – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Resources Research Corp., College Station, TX. – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: DeVany, Arthur S. IsPartOfRelationships: – BibEntity: Dates: – D: 01 M: 12 Type: published Y: 2025 |
| ResultId | 1 |
