The Design of Promises: The Structure of Local College Affordability Programs in the United States. EdWorkingPaper No. 25-1294

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Title: The Design of Promises: The Structure of Local College Affordability Programs in the United States. EdWorkingPaper No. 25-1294
Language: English
Authors: David B. Monaghan, Alice Armstrong, Elizabeth Hawke, Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University
Source: Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University. 2025.
Availability: Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University. Brown University Box 1985, Providence, RI 02912. Tel: 401-863-7990; Fax: 401-863-1290; e-mail: annenberg@brown.edu; Web site: https://annenberg.brown.edu/
Peer Reviewed: N
Page Count: 40
Publication Date: 2025
Document Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: Higher Education
Postsecondary Education
Descriptors: Paying for College, Colleges, College Programs, Ability, Eligibility, Program Design
Abstract: We analyze 314 local college affordability programs (i.e., "Promise" or "free college" programs) using a novel dataset detailing, for each program, rules stipulating what programs provide (provision), where they may be used (applicability), and who may use them (eligibility). We perform three sets of analyses. First, we ask whether programs can be cogently described as involving greater or lesser provision (i.e., "generosity"), broader/narrower applicability, and more/less universal eligibility by examining the internal consistency of these sets of program rules. That is, are provision, applicability, and eligibility better thought of as coherent dimensions according to which programs vary, or just buckets of conceptually related rules? Second, we inquire into whether program design is strongly imitative by examining the relationship between program similarity and both temporal and geographic proximity. Finally, we perform a data-driven inquiry through cluster analysis. We discover that program structure is most strongly influenced by the level(s) of colleges at which programs may be used: only community colleges, only public four-year colleges, or both community colleges and public four-year colleges. We provide an interpretation of why this may be the case. We thereby contribute robustly to the slight but growing literature on how college affordability programs are designed.
Abstractor: As Provided
Entry Date: 2026
Accession Number: ED678280
Database: ERIC
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  Data: Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University. Brown University Box 1985, Providence, RI 02912. Tel: 401-863-7990; Fax: 401-863-1290; e-mail: annenberg@brown.edu; Web site: https://annenberg.brown.edu/
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  Data: We analyze 314 local college affordability programs (i.e., "Promise" or "free college" programs) using a novel dataset detailing, for each program, rules stipulating what programs provide (provision), where they may be used (applicability), and who may use them (eligibility). We perform three sets of analyses. First, we ask whether programs can be cogently described as involving greater or lesser provision (i.e., "generosity"), broader/narrower applicability, and more/less universal eligibility by examining the internal consistency of these sets of program rules. That is, are provision, applicability, and eligibility better thought of as coherent dimensions according to which programs vary, or just buckets of conceptually related rules? Second, we inquire into whether program design is strongly imitative by examining the relationship between program similarity and both temporal and geographic proximity. Finally, we perform a data-driven inquiry through cluster analysis. We discover that program structure is most strongly influenced by the level(s) of colleges at which programs may be used: only community colleges, only public four-year colleges, or both community colleges and public four-year colleges. We provide an interpretation of why this may be the case. We thereby contribute robustly to the slight but growing literature on how college affordability programs are designed.
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      – SubjectFull: Paying for College
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      – SubjectFull: Eligibility
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      – SubjectFull: Program Design
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