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Species range shifts often speed ahead of their modeled climatic niches.

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Title: Species range shifts often speed ahead of their modeled climatic niches.
Authors: Oliveira BF; Centre de Synthèse et d'Analyse sur la Biodiversité, Fondation pour la Recherche sur la Biodiversité, Montpellier 34000, France.; Departamento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Natal 59072-970, Brazil., Bertrand R; Centre de Recherche sur la Biodiversité et l'Environnement (UMR5300), CNRS, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Institut National Polytechnique, Université Toulouse 3 - Paul Sabatier, Toulouse 31077, France., Pinsky ML; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 95060., Casajus N; Centre de Synthèse et d'Analyse sur la Biodiversité, Fondation pour la Recherche sur la Biodiversité, Montpellier 34000, France., Wolfe BW; Centre for Marine Socioecology, University of Tasmania, Hobart 7000, Australia.; Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart 7000, Australia., Scheffers BR; Department of Wildlife Ecology and Conservation, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611., Villalobos F; Red de Biología Evolutiva, Instituto de Ecología A.C., Xelapa 91073, Mexico., Grenouillet G; Centre de Recherche sur la Biodiversité et l'Environnement (UMR5300), CNRS, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Institut National Polytechnique, Université Toulouse 3 - Paul Sabatier, Toulouse 31077, France., Pecl GT; Centre for Marine Socioecology, University of Tasmania, Hobart 7000, Australia.; Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart 7000, Australia., Chen IC; Department of Life Sciences, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan 701, Taiwan., Baecher JA; Department of Wildlife Ecology and Conservation, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611., Lawlor JA; Department of Biology, McGill University, Montreal, QC H3A 1B1, Canada., Sunday J; Department of Biology, McGill University, Montreal, QC H3A 1B1, Canada., Murienne J; Centre de Recherche sur la Biodiversité et l'Environnement (UMR5300), CNRS, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Institut National Polytechnique, Université Toulouse 3 - Paul Sabatier, Toulouse 31077, France., Rolland J; Centre de Recherche sur la Biodiversité et l'Environnement (UMR5300), CNRS, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Institut National Polytechnique, Université Toulouse 3 - Paul Sabatier, Toulouse 31077, France., Thompson LM; National Climate Adaptation Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA 20192.; School of Natural Resources, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996., Lancaster LT; School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen AB24 2TZ, United Kingdom., Rubenstein MA; National Climate Adaptation Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA 20192., Moore NA; Department of Biology, McGill University, Montreal, QC H3A 1B1, Canada., Bandara RMWJ; Graduate Program in Ecology and Evolution, School of Environmental and Biological Sciences, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ 08901-8551., Diamond SE; Department of Biology, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH 44106., Weiskopf SR; National Climate Adaptation Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA 20192., Lenoir J; UMR CNRS 7058, Ecologie et Dynamique des Systèmes Anthropisés, Université de Picardie Jules Verne, Amiens 80000, France., Comte L; Conservation Science Partners, Inc., Truckee, CA 96161.
Source: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America [Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A] 2026 Apr 07; Vol. 123 (14), pp. e2515903123. Date of Electronic Publication: 2026 Mar 30.
Publication Type: Journal Article
Journal Info: Publisher: National Academy of Sciences Country of Publication: United States NLM ID: 7505876 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1091-6490 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 00278424 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Subsets: MEDLINE
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  Data: Species range shifts often speed ahead of their modeled climatic niches.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Oliveira+BF%22">Oliveira BF</searchLink>; Centre de Synthèse et d'Analyse sur la Biodiversité, Fondation pour la Recherche sur la Biodiversité, Montpellier 34000, France.; Departamento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Natal 59072-970, Brazil.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Bertrand+R%22">Bertrand R</searchLink>; Centre de Recherche sur la Biodiversité et l'Environnement (UMR5300), CNRS, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Institut National Polytechnique, Université Toulouse 3 - Paul Sabatier, Toulouse 31077, France.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Pinsky+ML%22">Pinsky ML</searchLink>; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 95060.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Casajus+N%22">Casajus N</searchLink>; Centre de Synthèse et d'Analyse sur la Biodiversité, Fondation pour la Recherche sur la Biodiversité, Montpellier 34000, France.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wolfe+BW%22">Wolfe BW</searchLink>; Centre for Marine Socioecology, University of Tasmania, Hobart 7000, Australia.; Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart 7000, Australia.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Scheffers+BR%22">Scheffers BR</searchLink>; Department of Wildlife Ecology and Conservation, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Villalobos+F%22">Villalobos F</searchLink>; Red de Biología Evolutiva, Instituto de Ecología A.C., Xelapa 91073, Mexico.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Grenouillet+G%22">Grenouillet G</searchLink>; Centre de Recherche sur la Biodiversité et l'Environnement (UMR5300), CNRS, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Institut National Polytechnique, Université Toulouse 3 - Paul Sabatier, Toulouse 31077, France.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Pecl+GT%22">Pecl GT</searchLink>; Centre for Marine Socioecology, University of Tasmania, Hobart 7000, Australia.; Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart 7000, Australia.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Chen+IC%22">Chen IC</searchLink>; Department of Life Sciences, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan 701, Taiwan.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Baecher+JA%22">Baecher JA</searchLink>; Department of Wildlife Ecology and Conservation, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Lawlor+JA%22">Lawlor JA</searchLink>; Department of Biology, McGill University, Montreal, QC H3A 1B1, Canada.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Sunday+J%22">Sunday J</searchLink>; Department of Biology, McGill University, Montreal, QC H3A 1B1, Canada.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Murienne+J%22">Murienne J</searchLink>; Centre de Recherche sur la Biodiversité et l'Environnement (UMR5300), CNRS, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Institut National Polytechnique, Université Toulouse 3 - Paul Sabatier, Toulouse 31077, France.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Rolland+J%22">Rolland J</searchLink>; Centre de Recherche sur la Biodiversité et l'Environnement (UMR5300), CNRS, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Institut National Polytechnique, Université Toulouse 3 - Paul Sabatier, Toulouse 31077, France.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Thompson+LM%22">Thompson LM</searchLink>; National Climate Adaptation Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA 20192.; School of Natural Resources, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Lancaster+LT%22">Lancaster LT</searchLink>; School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen AB24 2TZ, United Kingdom.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Rubenstein+MA%22">Rubenstein MA</searchLink>; National Climate Adaptation Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA 20192.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Moore+NA%22">Moore NA</searchLink>; Department of Biology, McGill University, Montreal, QC H3A 1B1, Canada.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Bandara+RMWJ%22">Bandara RMWJ</searchLink>; Graduate Program in Ecology and Evolution, School of Environmental and Biological Sciences, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ 08901-8551.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Diamond+SE%22">Diamond SE</searchLink>; Department of Biology, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH 44106.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Weiskopf+SR%22">Weiskopf SR</searchLink>; National Climate Adaptation Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA 20192.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Lenoir+J%22">Lenoir J</searchLink>; UMR CNRS 7058, Ecologie et Dynamique des Systèmes Anthropisés, Université de Picardie Jules Verne, Amiens 80000, France.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Comte+L%22">Comte L</searchLink>; Conservation Science Partners, Inc., Truckee, CA 96161.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%227505876%22">Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America</searchLink> [Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A] 2026 Apr 07; Vol. 123 (14), pp. e2515903123. <i>Date of Electronic Publication: </i>2026 Mar 30.
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