Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on self-harm and self-harm/suicide ideation: population-wide data linkage study and time series analysis.

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Title: Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on self-harm and self-harm/suicide ideation: population-wide data linkage study and time series analysis.
Authors: Paterson, Euan Neil (AUTHOR), Kent, Lisa (AUTHOR), O'Reilly, Dermot (AUTHOR), O'Hagan, Denise (AUTHOR), O'Neill, Siobhan M. (AUTHOR), Maguire, Aideen (AUTHOR)
Source: British Journal of Psychiatry. Nov2023, Vol. 223 Issue 5, p509-517. 9p.
Subjects: Time series analysis, COVID-19 pandemic, Living alone, Stay-at-home orders, Moving average process
Abstract: Background: The COVID-19 pandemic and associated lockdowns were predicted to have a major impact on suicidal behaviour, including self-harm. However, current studies have produced contradictory findings with limited trend data. Aims: Nine years of linked individual-level administrative data were utilised to examine changes in hospital-presenting self-harm and ideation (thoughts of self-harm or suicide) before and during the pandemic. Method: National self-harm registry data were linked to demographic and socioeconomic indicators from healthcare registration records (n = 1 899 437). Monthly presentations of self-harm or ideation were split (pre-COVID-19 restrictions: April 2012 to February 2020; and during restrictions: March to September 2020). Auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were trained in R taking into consideration trends and seasonal effects. Forecast ('expected') monthly values were compared with 'actual' values, stratified by demographic factors and method of harm. Results: The number of individuals presenting with self-harm or ideation dropped significantly at the beginning of the pandemic (March–May 2020), before returning mostly to expected trends from June 2020. Stratified analysis showed similar presentation trends across most demographic subgroups except for those aged over 65 years, living alone or in affluent areas, where presentations remained unaffected, and those aged under 16 years, where numbers presenting with self-harm or ideation increased above expected levels. Conclusions: Although population trends show an overall drop in presentations before a return to 'normal' from June 2020, the demographic profile of those presenting with self-harm or ideation varied significantly, with increases in children under the age of 16 years. This highlights important potential target groups who may have been most negatively affected by the pandemic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of British Journal of Psychiatry is the property of Cambridge University Press and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
Database: Psychology and Behavioral Sciences Collection
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  Data: Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on self-harm and self-harm/suicide ideation: population-wide data linkage study and time series analysis.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Paterson%2C+Euan+Neil%22">Paterson, Euan Neil</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Kent%2C+Lisa%22">Kent, Lisa</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22O'Reilly%2C+Dermot%22">O'Reilly, Dermot</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22O'Hagan%2C+Denise%22">O'Hagan, Denise</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22O'Neill%2C+Siobhan+M%2E%22">O'Neill, Siobhan M.</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Maguire%2C+Aideen%22">Maguire, Aideen</searchLink> (AUTHOR)
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22British+Journal+of+Psychiatry%22">British Journal of Psychiatry</searchLink>. Nov2023, Vol. 223 Issue 5, p509-517. 9p.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Time+series+analysis%22">Time series analysis</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22COVID-19+pandemic%22">COVID-19 pandemic</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Living+alone%22">Living alone</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Stay-at-home+orders%22">Stay-at-home orders</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Moving+average+process%22">Moving average process</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: Background: The COVID-19 pandemic and associated lockdowns were predicted to have a major impact on suicidal behaviour, including self-harm. However, current studies have produced contradictory findings with limited trend data. Aims: Nine years of linked individual-level administrative data were utilised to examine changes in hospital-presenting self-harm and ideation (thoughts of self-harm or suicide) before and during the pandemic. Method: National self-harm registry data were linked to demographic and socioeconomic indicators from healthcare registration records (n = 1 899 437). Monthly presentations of self-harm or ideation were split (pre-COVID-19 restrictions: April 2012 to February 2020; and during restrictions: March to September 2020). Auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were trained in R taking into consideration trends and seasonal effects. Forecast ('expected') monthly values were compared with 'actual' values, stratified by demographic factors and method of harm. Results: The number of individuals presenting with self-harm or ideation dropped significantly at the beginning of the pandemic (March–May 2020), before returning mostly to expected trends from June 2020. Stratified analysis showed similar presentation trends across most demographic subgroups except for those aged over 65 years, living alone or in affluent areas, where presentations remained unaffected, and those aged under 16 years, where numbers presenting with self-harm or ideation increased above expected levels. Conclusions: Although population trends show an overall drop in presentations before a return to 'normal' from June 2020, the demographic profile of those presenting with self-harm or ideation varied significantly, with increases in children under the age of 16 years. This highlights important potential target groups who may have been most negatively affected by the pandemic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
  Label:
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  Data: <i>Copyright of British Journal of Psychiatry is the property of Cambridge University Press and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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        Value: 10.1192/bjp.2023.76
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        Text: English
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      – SubjectFull: Living alone
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      – SubjectFull: Moving average process
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              Text: Nov2023
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