Winners and losers in U.S.–China trade disputes: A dynamic compositional analysis of foreign direct investment.
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| Title: | Winners and losers in U.S.–China trade disputes: A dynamic compositional analysis of foreign direct investment. |
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| Authors: | Jung, Yoo Sun (AUTHOR), Park, Yohan (AUTHOR) |
| Source: | Social Science Quarterly (Wiley-Blackwell). Jul2024, Vol. 105 Issue 4, p980-995. 16p. |
| Subjects: | Foreign investments, Business planning, China-United States relations, Economic change, International trade disputes |
| Geographic Terms: | China |
| Abstract: | Background: The trade conflicts between the United States and China have significantly disrupted global trade and economic growth. In today's globalized economy where the production of goods and services spans across multiple nations, these disputes have far‐reaching consequences that extend beyond the involved parties and impact the broader global economy. Objective: We examine the effects of the U.S.‐China trade disputes on multinational investment patterns in China and Southeast Asia. Methods: Using a dynamic compositional approach, we analyze data on firm‐level greenfield foreign direct investment. Results: We observe European firms increasing their investments in China to enhance market penetration, while American firms are withdrawing, redirecting their focus toward Southeast Asia to mitigate dependence on the Chinese market. Conclusion: This shift highlights broader international business strategy trends amid geopolitical and economic changes. The results indicate significant transformations in global supply chains, shedding light on the extensive effects of U.S.–China trade tensions on global economic equilibrium and how these tensions are reshaping international investment and supply chain dynamics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Copyright of Social Science Quarterly (Wiley-Blackwell) is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) | |
| Database: | Psychology and Behavioral Sciences Collection |
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| Abstract: | Background: The trade conflicts between the United States and China have significantly disrupted global trade and economic growth. In today's globalized economy where the production of goods and services spans across multiple nations, these disputes have far‐reaching consequences that extend beyond the involved parties and impact the broader global economy. Objective: We examine the effects of the U.S.‐China trade disputes on multinational investment patterns in China and Southeast Asia. Methods: Using a dynamic compositional approach, we analyze data on firm‐level greenfield foreign direct investment. Results: We observe European firms increasing their investments in China to enhance market penetration, while American firms are withdrawing, redirecting their focus toward Southeast Asia to mitigate dependence on the Chinese market. Conclusion: This shift highlights broader international business strategy trends amid geopolitical and economic changes. The results indicate significant transformations in global supply chains, shedding light on the extensive effects of U.S.–China trade tensions on global economic equilibrium and how these tensions are reshaping international investment and supply chain dynamics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
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| ISSN: | 00384941 |
| DOI: | 10.1111/ssqu.13362 |
