Estimating Feasible Power Output Boundaries of CHP Units by Mining Extreme Power Values from Historical Operation Data Sequence.

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Title: Estimating Feasible Power Output Boundaries of CHP Units by Mining Extreme Power Values from Historical Operation Data Sequence.
Authors: Du, Hongfei1 Du_9011@163.com, Jin, Tao1 JingT_7805@163.com, Jia, Fengsheng1 Jiafs_9011@163.com, Cong, Lin1 Congl_8209@163.com
Source: Engineering Letters. May2026, Vol. 34 Issue 5, p1579-1588. 10p.
Subjects: K-means clustering, Piecewise linear approximation, Data mining, Electric power system control, Trigeneration (Energy), Electric power system management
Abstract: With substantial amounts of renewable energies being integrated into power grids, combined heat and power (CHP) units are required to regulate their power outputs to compensate for power fluctuations caused by renewable energies. The feasible power output boundaries are important indices, which indicate the regulative capacities of CHP units. This paper proposes a method to estimate the feasible power output boundaries. The proposed method comprises both an offline stage and an online stage. During the offline stage, the operating conditions of the mass flow rate of extraction steam are identified through the K-means algorithm. Subsequently, the stable power output data segments corresponding to each operating condition are determined via the piecewise linear representation algorithm. Lastly, the power output boundaries of each operating condition are regarded as the maximum and minimum mean values of the stable power output data segments. During the online stage, the current operating condition is determined by finding the minimum Euclidean distance between the mass flow rate of extraction steam to each center of the operating conditions, and then the power output boundaries of the current operating condition are regarded as the estimates of the feasible power output boundaries. To determine the operating conditions via the K-means algorithm in an unsupervised manner, an optimal clustering number determination algorithm is formulated. An industrial example is provided to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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Abstract:With substantial amounts of renewable energies being integrated into power grids, combined heat and power (CHP) units are required to regulate their power outputs to compensate for power fluctuations caused by renewable energies. The feasible power output boundaries are important indices, which indicate the regulative capacities of CHP units. This paper proposes a method to estimate the feasible power output boundaries. The proposed method comprises both an offline stage and an online stage. During the offline stage, the operating conditions of the mass flow rate of extraction steam are identified through the K-means algorithm. Subsequently, the stable power output data segments corresponding to each operating condition are determined via the piecewise linear representation algorithm. Lastly, the power output boundaries of each operating condition are regarded as the maximum and minimum mean values of the stable power output data segments. During the online stage, the current operating condition is determined by finding the minimum Euclidean distance between the mass flow rate of extraction steam to each center of the operating conditions, and then the power output boundaries of the current operating condition are regarded as the estimates of the feasible power output boundaries. To determine the operating conditions via the K-means algorithm in an unsupervised manner, an optimal clustering number determination algorithm is formulated. An industrial example is provided to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
ISSN:1816093X