Effects of Federal Loans on First-Year College Student Retention, Transfer, and Dropout

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Bibliographic Details
Title: Effects of Federal Loans on First-Year College Student Retention, Transfer, and Dropout
Language: English
Authors: Rong Chen (ORCID 0009-0003-5816-8930), Katie N. Smith
Source: Journal of College Student Retention: Research, Theory & Practice. 2026 28(1):245-273.
Availability: SAGE Publications. 2455 Teller Road, Thousand Oaks, CA 91320. Tel: 800-818-7243; Tel: 805-499-9774; Fax: 800-583-2665; e-mail: journals@sagepub.com; Web site: https://sagepub.com
Peer Reviewed: Y
Page Count: 29
Publication Date: 2026
Document Type: Journal Articles
Reports - Research
Education Level: Higher Education
Postsecondary Education
Descriptors: Student Financial Aid, Federal Aid, College Freshmen, School Holding Power, College Transfer Students, Dropouts, Student Loan Programs, African American Students, Academic Persistence, Family Income, Racial Differences
Assessment and Survey Identifiers: Beginning Postsecondary Students Longitudinal Study
DOI: 10.1177/15210251241252927
ISSN: 1521-0251
1541-4167
Abstract: This study utilizes marginal mean weighting through stratification (MMW-S) to analyze data from the Beginning Postsecondary Students 2012-2014 (BPS:12/14) survey. Specifically, this study estimates the effects of federal loan levels on first-year college students' decisions to persist by staying at their first institution or by transferring to another institution, or to drop out of the higher education system. Results indicate non-linear and heterogeneous effects of federal student loans. Compared with zero loans, having a low level of federal student loans is positively related to transferring to other institutions. Compared with zero loans, having a moderate level of loans is negatively associated with system dropout. Through interaction effect tests, we find some variation in these effects between students by race/ethnicity, with federal loans uniquely and adversely affecting Black student persistence.
Abstractor: As Provided
Entry Date: 2026
Accession Number: EJ1501376
Database: ERIC
Description
Abstract:This study utilizes marginal mean weighting through stratification (MMW-S) to analyze data from the Beginning Postsecondary Students 2012-2014 (BPS:12/14) survey. Specifically, this study estimates the effects of federal loan levels on first-year college students' decisions to persist by staying at their first institution or by transferring to another institution, or to drop out of the higher education system. Results indicate non-linear and heterogeneous effects of federal student loans. Compared with zero loans, having a low level of federal student loans is positively related to transferring to other institutions. Compared with zero loans, having a moderate level of loans is negatively associated with system dropout. Through interaction effect tests, we find some variation in these effects between students by race/ethnicity, with federal loans uniquely and adversely affecting Black student persistence.
ISSN:1521-0251
1541-4167
DOI:10.1177/15210251241252927