The Effects of Risk Factors and School Support on Educational Aspirations of Chinese Vulnerable Children: A Longitudinal Cross‐Lagged Study.

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Title: The Effects of Risk Factors and School Support on Educational Aspirations of Chinese Vulnerable Children: A Longitudinal Cross‐Lagged Study.
Authors: Fu, Wenxiao (AUTHOR), Deng, Fei (AUTHOR), Zhao, Wenlong (AUTHOR)
Source: Psychology in the Schools. Aug2025, Vol. 62 Issue 8, p2482-2499. 18p.
Subjects: Student aspirations, Expectancy theories, Education theory, Disparate impact (Law), Philosophy of education
Abstract: Educational aspiration is an essential motivational psychological force that can encourage vulnerable children to strive for academic success and overcome their vulnerable circumstances. Based on the developmental contextualism theory, this study utilized two waves of data from the China Education Panel Survey to construct a cross‐lagged model and investigate the factors that influence the educational aspirations of vulnerable children. The study found that, first, early risk factors and school support had significant negative and positive effects, respectively, on vulnerable children's later educational aspirations. Second, the positive impact of school support on children's educational aspirations is significantly greater than the negative impact of risk factors. Lastly, the impact patterns of risk factors and school support on vulnerable children's educational aspirations exhibit significant heterogeneity across different household registration types and academic performance levels, but there is no significant difference between genders. This study confirms the adverse impact of risk factors on educational aspirations among vulnerable children, while concurrently validating the positive role of school support in fostering educational aspirations, thereby expanding educational expectancy theory's framework regarding vulnerable populations. Summary: The push‐pull effects of risk factors and school support on the educational aspirations of vulnerable children demonstrate both persistence and accumulation.The positive impact of school support on educational aspirations far outweighs the negative impact of risk factors, and school support demonstrates a stronger compensatory effect for certain vulnerable children.The patterns and mechanisms of influence of risk factors and school support on vulnerable children are also validated in the non‐vulnerable children group, confirming that the model has a certain degree of universality and predictability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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Database: Psychology and Behavioral Sciences Collection
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Abstract:Educational aspiration is an essential motivational psychological force that can encourage vulnerable children to strive for academic success and overcome their vulnerable circumstances. Based on the developmental contextualism theory, this study utilized two waves of data from the China Education Panel Survey to construct a cross‐lagged model and investigate the factors that influence the educational aspirations of vulnerable children. The study found that, first, early risk factors and school support had significant negative and positive effects, respectively, on vulnerable children's later educational aspirations. Second, the positive impact of school support on children's educational aspirations is significantly greater than the negative impact of risk factors. Lastly, the impact patterns of risk factors and school support on vulnerable children's educational aspirations exhibit significant heterogeneity across different household registration types and academic performance levels, but there is no significant difference between genders. This study confirms the adverse impact of risk factors on educational aspirations among vulnerable children, while concurrently validating the positive role of school support in fostering educational aspirations, thereby expanding educational expectancy theory's framework regarding vulnerable populations. Summary: The push‐pull effects of risk factors and school support on the educational aspirations of vulnerable children demonstrate both persistence and accumulation.The positive impact of school support on educational aspirations far outweighs the negative impact of risk factors, and school support demonstrates a stronger compensatory effect for certain vulnerable children.The patterns and mechanisms of influence of risk factors and school support on vulnerable children are also validated in the non‐vulnerable children group, confirming that the model has a certain degree of universality and predictability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
ISSN:00333085
DOI:10.1002/pits.23480